Last week's order of who I thought had the best shot at winning...
8. Jeremiah [OUT THIS EPISODE]
7. Kass
6. Tasha
5. Tony
4. Jefra
3. Woo
2. Spencer
1. Trish
Now moving on to this week...
7. Tasha - Despite her popularity on here I still don't see a way for her to win the season. Granted I think even if she were to lose an immunity Spencer would go, but her edit has been kind of lackluster. She has a few things to say here and there but nothing particularly relevant to suggest that she makes it to the end. If she did make it, she'd probably win. But my guess is it doesn't get to that point.
6. Jefra - After tonight's episode all I can see her as is wishy washy. If she makes it to the end I don't think she'll have any jury votes after losing the respect of Tasha, Spencer, and Jeremiah. They view her as a sheep to Tony and Trish who will do whatever they say and hasn't made a big game move on her own. She's also relatively clueless about what's going on at all times.
5. Spencer - He's got quite the edit, doesn't he? He however has no votes on his side to help get him to the end. Like I've said before, he's pissed at Kass on Twitter and he'd have no reason to be if he won the game. Like why hold a grudge about one stupid vote if you walk away with a million dollars anyway? My guess is Spencer has the Malcolm-esque edit where they want to bring him back in the future so they hype him up. Even if anyone flips next week I don't see Spencer making it to the end.
4. Kass - For some reason she's had quite a good edit but there's no way she wins because of the Twitter hate. Morgan, Sarah, Spencer, Tasha, none of them respect her in the least. She'd need to deliver quite the jury speech to win the game [which is the only reason she's so high, being a lawyer who "never loses" I believe it's something she could hypothetically pull off]. I see Kass getting 5th in this Brawn heavy alliance right after Spencer and Tasha which is why they'd think she was so dumb for flipping in the first place.
3. Woo - I will probably kill myself if this happens and he's getting this likable happy-go-lucky kind of edit where he's aloof at all times. Sure he could make it to the end I guess. But it's hard to imagine him being coherent enough to win any jury votes. I'm just sort of confused at why they portray him so positively when he's the most gullible one on the island.
2. Tony - I've said all season he has no shot. He's the biggest target there and his gameplay is so sloppy. They even said at tribal tonight if he makes it he wins. What if the whole storyline for this season is that despite Tony's horrid slip-ups, STILL no one can get him out and he winds up making it to the end and winning. They've shoved it in our face the entire season with the endless confessionals and complete OTTN personality. It'd be a shock for such a villain to win, but I suppose it could happen.
1. Trish - I stand by my glamazon until she is voted out. Today's episode showed Trish as being the level headed one of the group and anyone who looks into it can clearly see she managed Jefra in a great manner and kept her in line to vote with the group of five. Trish holds everyone together and as long as she's sitting next to anyone but Tony in that F2 [assuming Spencer doesn't somehow make it], there isn't a scenario she loses. I could see a unanimous win over nearly anyone.
