9th - Sierra - Anyone who is shown as much as Sierra bitching about her current situation and then doing absolutely nothing to change it whatsoever is just bound to be either a third place goat or a 5th/6th place sacrifice. Nothing about Sierra indicates that she'll win. She's essentially getting one random confessional an episode just to prove shes still here...
CHANCE OF WINNING: 0%
8th - Will - I read something that said Will was in F3 as a goat because clearly he's getting no air time and has done nothing all season but make poor strategic choices. Nothing about him indicates a win either - he rarely has confessionals anymore and it seems his biggest move of the game was sending his deaf friend packing.
CHANCE OF WINNING: 0%
7th - Carolyn - If anyone wins between her and Tyler, it certainly wont be her. She's just a generic hag goat that started the season off so promising. I really don't see Carolyn winning. I suppose she has a remote chance that's barely conceivable but her edit has taken such a nose dive and she's fallen off the face of the earth. She also votes emotionally and not strategically.
CHANCE OF WINNING: 0.5%
6th - Jenn - I really really doubt they'd edit a winner as someone who wanted to quit. She's had such a strong edit up until now though which just leads me to believe she's in the voting pool for Season 31/32. I loved that she was pulling a Janu by trying to keep the person they all wanted out (Stephanie/Joe) but ultimately failed. Respect her for NOT quitting though.
CHANCE OF WINNING: 2%
5th - Dan - I would literally puke for days if he won. He's absolutely disgusting and nothing will change my opinion of that. I'm legitimately AFRAID of Dan. I think the ultimate irony will be when Shirin and Sierra get him out, but he's had some weird confessionals like "I'm much smarter than people think" but then is OTTN / OTT every other episode so I doubt he wins.
CHANCE OF WINNING: 2%
4th - Rodney - The only conceivable way he wins is if he somehow really does get control of an alliance and rides it to the F3. He got recap credit this week which was very odd. He's too misogynistic to win and they showed that, which could have easily been edited out if he was the winner unless they want us to hate that he won...which I guess COULD happen. Doubt it but it could.
CHANCE OF WINNING: 3%
3rd - Tyler - He works quietly but is very smart I think. Next week will be a big deciding factor on whether he can win or not. It's currently blue collar vs. the rest. If he can flip Sierra or Rodney against the rest of the tribe, maybe he can become the leader and win. I think he'd have played a very solid game if he did that especially after the "flippers can win if they flip at the right time" thing that was said today.
CHANCE OF WINNING: 15%
2nd - Mike - Mike has been my winner pick for the last four episodes, and I recognize that they showed blue collar repeating "THE WINNER IS ON THIS TRIBE"...but what if that was just for irony purposes when we see the blue collars implode on themselves after being so sure of a win. I feel like people would be disappointed if Mike won, but he's been in complete control thus far. If he wins after Shirin pegged him as the leader, good on him.
CHANCE OF WINNING: 37.5%
1st - Shirin - Oh my, the over-the-top princess reborn as a strategist. The last few episodes have been all about Shirin. After tonight I became convinced that she'd win. She got so much positive air time today that if she's booted soon would make no sense. They made Dan look bad for her. Everything is being set up for Shirin to make it far in the game. I feel like she'd need goats by her side to win like Sierra and Will, but there's no reason it can't happen. All aboard the Shirin wins S30 train!
CHANCE OF WINNING: 40%
his biggest move of the game was sending his deaf friend packing. LOL
I don't like Carolyn but she is in a pretty good position right now. Maybe like 5% chance idk
yeah i don't get why people rank carolyn as a contender, but i disagree that she votes emotionally. imo she's done everything correct so far, and going to the end with rodney/tyler/will is a great decision for her. but yeah she doesn't have the editing support to be a winner
also i still think mike wins, but i hope to god shirin pulls it out
