i think maria was set-up to go home this next episode or the one after it in the previous episode. if she survives next episode and it looks like she's good to survive the following one, i may take her more seriously as a contender
i see kenzie as the most, most likely winner. charlie is possible and if he does win it'll make sense but it's more likely to me he goes soon like ms. moi said. up until this last season, i was starting to make a case for liz based on the edit but lol @ that now. i do see a path for venus although i see why many have counted her out. i think it's highly unlikely, especially given the animosity it seems the cast still has towards her, but i haven't ruled her out completely. give q another episode or two and i think his stock could rise but he's out. ben, to me, is the 0% shot person
Maria is giving Julie Alley 2.0. She doesn't have the visibility to win. Before this episode, Charlie got 90% of the duo's strategic focus. Like NewNightmare7 said, I think Maria is the final boss of this season. Also, there was a secret scene where she came off negatively in her conversation with Ben. We also got foreshadowing in episode 5 that Maria might get screwed over by Ben. Maria talked about how she wanted to keep Jem because she couldn't really trust Ben. I think that means Ben is going to outlast Maria.
Charlie is honestly giving Spencer Bledsoe 2.0. Yes, we get a ton of strategy from him, but we also don't really see that much of his relationships. Like I struggle to see who would vote for him to win outside of Maria and Ben atp. He's still my #2 contender just because I don't think anyone else has a shot at winning outside of him and Kenzie. I could see his fatal mistake being letting Kenzie get to the end and because she has better relationships with the jury, his gameplay won't matter. I also think he might choose Ben over Maria in the endgame, which could earn him some ire from the jury.
Kenzie is my #1 contender. There was no reason to focus on Bhanu so much if a Yanu member wasn't winning (and Q is not winning lol). My only worry with Kenzie is that she could be slightly too visible for a female winner. We see her relationship with Ben. We saw her relationship with Tiffany. Hunter talked very highly of her in his exit interviews. I wanna say her and Venus are also close because why else would Venus still be here LMAO. I think Kenzie is either winning or losing fire at F4.
Q and Liz are not winning under any scenarios. Rn I think Venus only beats Q and Liz and I don't think Q is getting to the end so she's out. Ben's edit is extremely hollow, which reminds me of someone that goes on to lose fire-making at F4.
TL;DR: Kenzie or Charlie is winning, Liz is getting 3rd, Ben is probably losing fire, Maria goes out 5th via Ben, and Q/Venus are out in the next two episodes.
Tester true, she did have some invisible moments. And the Bhanu thing was kinda ridiculous. I'd have to go back and see if there was foreshadowing there too, on perhaps Kenzie playing a superior game in that circumstance. Interesting catch with Ben / Maria!
charlie's the narrator who'll be out soon
maria just doesnt have the visibility