as to who still left in Game Changers has a shot at winning. This is based on gameplay and such, not based on edit.
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REALLY JUST HAS NO SHOT TBH
Michaela. I love her as a character but her game has just been poor this season. Several people (namely Malcolm, Aubry, Hali, and JT) have said Michaela is hard to live with at camp and generally unpleasant to be around. She has no solid allies outside Cirie, and even that's not as tight as it needs to be. Even if she makes FTC, which is unlikely but im nor ruling out as a possibility, she's not taking home the win.
Debbie. Debbie will never win Survivor. She's too much of a loose cannon. People either A) Think she's loony and want nothing to do with her or B) Like her, but in a "crazy old aunt" kind of way, not in a "we've truly made a connection and I want to give you 1,000,000" kind of way
Tai. Tai is super flaky and flip-floppy, it's very very unlikely his gameplay will garner any respect from his fellow players. HOWEVER, he is very much genuinely liked. He's done a fairly good job of actually connecting with those around him and making them feel appreciated. He could potentially make it to FTC, and if he's sitting next to 2 people who seriously pissed off the jury, I think it IS possible he could win it. However, he's low on the totem pole so it's unlikely he'll make FTC, and if he does, there's the factor of the ever present speech barrier that really prevents him from clearly making his case.
Aubry. Really a shame, I think Aubry is a pretty good player, and she was my pre-season winner pick, but I don't see it happening. She's in the vast minority, neither alliance is scambling to have her on their side. She's one of three remaining Mana, and honestly you might as well count Troyzan as a Nuku, he's bonded with them much more over the course of the game. Just about everyone she allied herself with got the boot. Unless Culpepper & Co seriously implode on themselves, which I think is pretty unlikely, Aubry isn't going to pull it off
Zeke. Zeke was actually on a great path. Hate him all you want, but Zeke is VERY good at putting together an army that's willing to follow him into battle. His downfall however is his arrogance and over-eagerness to make BIG MOOVZ. There was absolutely zero reason to target Andrea. That was a game-losing mistake. I think if he ever returns later down the road he could do very well in the game, once he's grown some more and has mellowed out. It's not completely impossible that he recovers this season, but I very highly doubt it.
Andrea. Andrea's played fairly well, but as of now she really just doesn't have the numbers. Again, if Kekpaprica and Friends turn on each other, then maybe, but I don't really see it happening before Andrea's already gone.
Troyzan. In a very solid position in his alliance, has an idol for safety, isn't going anywhere anytime soon. I think it's fairly likely he can make FTC. However I don't think he's solidified the bonds to get a win.
Sierra. She's more or less running the show currently, but she's getting a bit too big for her britches. She's becoming very cocky, and when you're both calling the shots in an alliance and overconfident, you're heading for nothing but trouble. Likely to be overthrown and blindsided, or maybe she can make it to FTC where people will be pissed at her for the way she's carried herself, either way, I don't have much hope for miss Fan Favorite here.
Cirie. Cirie is in a similar position as Andrea, she's on the wrong side of the numbers. However, Andrea is not Cirie. Cirie's become a Survivor legend for a reason, she;s remarkably good at the game. If there's one person who would be able to spot the cracks in the majority and know how to utilize such cracks, it's her. She has potential allies to use in the event she gets an opening. She can get Andrea, Zeke, Aubry, and Michaela to work with her. That means she just needs to swing one from Cuckpapa's group as of right now, and she's on pretty good terms with Tai, whose known to flip almost as much as Candice Cody. The problem is, Cirie is also a pretty big target. If she does manage to overthrow the opposition, this doesnt really guarantee her safety. People will want her out before FTC. This is what keeps me from putting her up to the next tier. But if she CAN make finals, I think it's safe to say she's got herself $1,000,000
Sarah and Brad. They share an entry because they're both pretty much on the same page. Important decision making players of the majority alliance, yet very much liked by their allies and not leader-ish enough to have a big target on them like Sierra does. I think Brad has the edge here as he seems to be better connected to people than Sarah, but if I were betting, my money would be on either one of them.
