5. Andy
Andy has been pretty low key this season and had I not seen him play in my older generations I would rank him lower on this list. However, if he can pull off some of the moves I've seen him pull in the past he can easily pull off a win in this game. Andy is a smart player, question is whether or not he has come to play.
4. Justin
Justin may be able to win the finals if he makes it but I think everybody sees him as a large threat. I wouldn't be surprised if he was a very early merge boot, but if he can get himself deep into this game (and I think has the ability to do so) then I can see him taking over.
3. Marto
Marto is definitely a strong player in this game and has some advantages up his sleeve that can help him get out of some danger. The thing holding Marto back at this point is that he was clearly on the bottom of his current tribe and Jasper/Tom/Alex may fear that Marto is coming after them so they will try to take him out first. I expect Marto to be a strong player while, at times, slipping back into the crowd to let others pick each other off.
2. Morgan
Morgan has made some big, loud moves. He is in a very strong position right now.. but I think everybody knows it. Morgan is going to have a big bullseye on his back and if he makes it to the end I think he will win over everybody. I will be shocked if Morgan makes it to the final tribal council, but if the other players let it happen it would mean Morgan has played masterfully to get there and would be more than deserving of the win.
1. Jasper
I think Jasper is playing the best game out of everyone right now. He has made moves and put himself into a very strong position, but I don't think people realize how big of a threat he is right now. I can see Jasper having a lot of options early on in the merge having forged himself perhaps the easiest path to the finals. However, having the cards in your hand does not mean you will play them correctly, but if I was a betting man (and I wouldn't be arrested for insider gambling) my money would be on Jasper to take it home.