Since Semi Final 2 of #Eurovision is tomorrow (!!!!), I have decided to make a prediction on what I think will happen tomorrow! Just like semi 1, I have been avoiding thinking about qualifiers because there are so many quality entries. I feel like it's going to be such a tight race, especially for the last few spots, and I really do feel like anything could happen!! Also, please remember, this is my prediction, not my personal preferences :)
1. Finland 馃嚝馃嚠
Jezebel by The Rasmus
Chance of qualifying - 60%
Meh... I still don't this this is necessarily safe. I don't think a majority of Europe know who the Rasmus are, plus, the vocals have been subpar and I don't think this stands out too much. Still going to put it in because everyone thinks this is in, but I have an inkling this could miss if everyone else performs great.
2. Israel 馃嚠馃嚤
I.M. by Michael Ben David
Chance of qualifying - 45%
I still don't see this one qualifying. The vocals that the press has raved about seem borderline shouty to me, and the song is a little too over the top for its own good.
3. Serbia 馃嚪馃嚫
In corpore sano by Konstrakta
Chance of qualifying - 85%
Fairly safe. All the Balkans are going to gravitate to this and I'm sure the rest of Europe will love the beat and how iconic and out there this is.
4. Azerbaijan 馃嚘馃嚳
Fade to Black by Nadir Rustamli
Chance of qualifying - 45%
Placing this as borderline out. Feel like it doesn't stand out amongst the other male ballads in this semi, and if one is to miss out, it's going to be Azerbaijan.
5. Georgia 馃嚞馃嚜
Lock Me In by Circus Mircus
Chance of qualifying - 10%
This isn't happening. This is fun, but I just don't see how this would garner appeal from either the jury or the televote.
6. Malta 馃嚥馃嚬
I Am What I Am by Emma Muscat
Chance of qualifying - 40%
This screams jury qualifier and last place in televote. Unfortunately for Malta, that tends to lead to a non qualification.
7. San Marino 馃嚫馃嚥
Stripper by Achille Lauro
Chance of qualifying - 55%
I'm putting this through. I think the Italian audience is going to help bring this to life live and literally who is putting on a show like Achille?? No one.
8. Australia 馃嚘馃嚭
Not the Same by Sheldon Riley
Chance of qualifying - 75%
Juries are going to absolutely eat this up. This should be fairly safe as I can also see the audience connecting more with an authentic ballad like this in comparison to the prior ones in the semi.
9. Cyprus 馃嚚馃嚲
Ela by Andromache
Chance of qualifying - 50%
I HATE having this this low. Realistically, I just don't see where Cyprus is getting support from in this semi. I also worry that the staging may appear more clunky than polished, which could really hurt this. I am very very worried for this queen. We need prayers.
10. Ireland 馃嚠馃嚜
That's Rich by Brooke
Chance of qualifying - 55%
11. North Macedonia 馃嚥馃嚢
Circles by Andrea
Chance of qualifying - 10%
This just gets lost and doesn't appeal to either televoters or the jury. Pretty much dead on arrival.
12. Estonia 馃嚜馃嚜
Hope by Stefan
Chance of qualifying - 80%
Even though the stage show is slightly disappointing, I don't see a world in which this fails to qualify. Juries are going to absolutely love this, and I'm sure the public will too.
13. Romania 馃嚪馃嚧
Ll谩mame by WRS
Chance of qualifying - 40%
Meh... I can see a world in which this works out for Romania, but I'm leaning toward no. There are better uptempo songs in this semi and I fear it just gets lost amongst the lineup.
14. Poland 馃嚨馃嚤
River by Ochman
Chance of qualifying - 90%
Happy that Poland will finally break their qualification streak this year. This is the type of song both juries and the televote are going to love, and Poland does deserve a good result once again.
15. Montenegro 馃嚥馃嚜
Breathe by Vladana
Chance of qualifying - 20%
Jury bait, but will flop in the televote. Don't see a path for this one unfortunately.
16. Belgium 馃嚙馃嚜
Miss You by J茅r茅mie Makiese
Chance of qualifying - 35%
Don't really see this one working out either. From what I've heard, the staging is messy and the vocals aren't as strong as they need to be. Feel like this just doesn't entice anyone to vote for it.
17. Sweden 馃嚫馃嚜
Hold Me Closer by Cornelia Jakobs
Chance of qualifying - 100%
A given. Winning the semi. Need I say more?
18. Czech Republic 馃嚚馃嚳
Lights Off by We Are Domi
Chance of qualifying - 85%
Perfect closer. Will be fresh in the televoters minds while also being commercial enough to appeal to the juries. Should easily qualify.
-PREDICTIONS-
1. Sweden 馃嚫馃嚜
2. Poland 馃嚨馃嚤
3. Czech Republic 馃嚚馃嚳
4. Serbia 馃嚪馃嚫
5. Estonia 馃嚜馃嚜
6. Australia 馃嚘馃嚭
7. Finland 馃嚝馃嚠
8. Ireland 馃嚠馃嚜
9. San Marino 馃嚫馃嚥
10. Cyprus 馃嚚馃嚲
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11. Azerbaijan 馃嚘馃嚳
12. Israel 馃嚠馃嚤
13. Romania 馃嚪馃嚧
14. Malta 馃嚥馃嚬
15. Belgium 馃嚙馃嚜
16. Montenegro 馃嚥馃嚜
17. Georgia 馃嚞馃嚜
18. North Macedonia 馃嚥馃嚢
**I have my 7th-13th as borderlines and ones that could go either way... I'm scared for tomorrow**
Also would LOVE to hear all of your thoughts and predictions for tomorrow!! :) It's bound to be crazy and I can't wait to see what happens.
