Does anyone wanna post their estimated cast of 20. Just for fun. And when we find out the real cast....we can figure out who had the best prediction?
THIS IS OBVI IN REGARDS TO THE CIRCULATING RUMOR THAT SEASON 40 IS BATTLE OF THE CHAMPIONS OR SOME SHIT
Mine is
WOMEN:
Parvati
Kim
Natalie Anderson
Sandra
Michele
Sarah
Danni
S38 winner (Julie or Victoria)
Sophie
Denise
MEN:
Tony
Adam
Wendell
Boston Rob
Earl
Richard (I know legal trouble...but if Jeff found out Hatch could be on...maybe thats what changed his mind)
Mike
Cochran
JT
Nick
I will create a spreadsheet. One point for each person that is on the show. I will think of some prize to offer. But imma compete too.
#SURVIVOR
I am torn on this episode. I mean I thought it was entertaining...but It was a little more chaotic and less strategically epic. What do I mean....I thought we were going to have 3 idols plays...and like 2 votes for ONE person determine who went home. But instead we got a live tribal which was good...but it was kinda obvi that Aurora/Julia were on the hot seat after that huge debate. Also...the tribal was worse because we were forced to endure Rick and Julie taking control. Honestly not a fan of Rick at all. It always pisses me off that someone like him who has literally done NOTHING is made out to be more relevent than someone like Lauren who has found an idol...and has been apart of the power trio for a long time. But of course thats just little old me being sick of the sexist way of editing that WILL NEVER CHANGE. Also...I like Julie but they are making her way to emotional. I'm sure they have to show that...but I'm sure there is plenty of content out there of her being a bad ass b*tch. So why can't we see that? And not the overly emotional female stereotype. All in all...good tribal...but disfunctional more so vs good strategic play
Ranking the players on how I like them
1st: Lauren
2nd: Kelley
3rd: Victoria
___GAP____
4th: Wardog
5th: Julie
6th: Ron
7th: Aurora
8th: Gavin
___GAP____
9th: David
___GAP____
___GAP____
___GAP____
10th: Rick Rick Rick Rick...yes thats Right...I'm not going to call him fucking "Devens"...LIKE WTF
just speculation: also rumor has it Kelley is in F3...so i had to narrate in a way that she gets to the end.
F11: Julia/Victoria/Gavin NOW decide they want Kelley out. They along with Julie/Ron/Rick/Aurora vote for Kelley. Kelley uses idol and her/Lauren/Wardog/David all vote for RON. *RON ELIMINATED*
F10: Julia/Victoria/Gavin/Julie/Aurora/Rick vote together AGAINST LAUREN. Meanwhile.....Lauren players her idol....negating all 6 votes. With the same 4...they send Julia out. *JULIA ELIMINATED*
F9: Kelley/Lauren/David/Wardog convince Rick to flip to their side. Lesu 5 combine forces and vote out Gavin. *GAVIN ELIMINATED*
F8: Kelley/Lauren find another idol. They alongside Wardog make a plan to blindside Rick/David when Rick/David try to flip on them and vote with Victoria/Aurora/Julie. The three vote for Rick, flushing his idol. Also they do this by Kelley playing a second idol. *RICK ELIMINATED*
F7: At the F7 we have Kelley/Wardog/Lauren vs. Aurora/Julie/Victoria. This leaves David in the middle as the swing. He blindsides Wardog...eliminating him. *WARDOG ELIMINATED*
*CHRIS RETURNS*
F7: with Wardog gone, Kelley and Lauren are forced to do anything to stay alive. They find an idol....and Lauren wins immunity. Kelley/Lauren vote out Aurora after she flipped on them earlier. *AURORA ELIMINATED*
F6: Kelley/Lauren try to regroup with David. The three end up voting together...and we have Kelley/Lauren/David vs. Chris/Victoria/Julie. In the end, they draw rocks....and Lauren is eliminated.
F5: Kelley wins immunity: The majority alliance voted out David *DAVID ELIMINATED*
F4: Kelley wins immunity: Bring Julie to the end with her. Chris vs. Victoria FMC.....Chris wins
F3: Kelley/Julie/Chris
Julie gets all Kama votes, Kelley gets 3-4 straggler votes.
#survivor
Okay...so there is a "spoiled" F3 out there. I don't know how promising it is...however it seems to be the only spoiler that has some weight to it. Only read further if you want to know what it is.
The F3 is supposedly Eric/Julie/Kelley
It is speculated that Eric is the EOI returnee, and it is highly speculated that Julie IS our winner. Here is how I THINK the season will go based off this spoiler
12th: Ron
11th: Wardog
10th: David
9th: Eric
8th: Julia
7th: Gavin
6th: Rick
____ERIC RETURNS____
6th: Aurora
5th: Victoria
4th Lauren
12th: Probst already teased that next weeks tribal will be epic. I think that Wardog/Kelley/Lauren somehow use Kelley OR Laurens idol and blindside RON.
11th: I think David/Rick somehow pull off a blindside to break up Kelley/Lauren/Wardog and they are able to blindside WARDOG.
10th: I think Kelley/Lauren find another idol..now having 2 again. And they use it to blindside DAVID.
9th: I think Kelley/Lauren get a girls alliance going or something along those lines and they send ERIC packing.
8th: I think the majority try to target Rick..and he plays an idol or something and they end up blindsiding JULIA
7th: I think Kelley/Lauren/Rick pull off another blindside...getting GAVIN out.
6th: I think Kelley/Lauren pull the girls together and blindside RICK.
*ERIC RETURNS*- rumor has it one of F3 is EOI returnee. I think its Eric
6th: Aurora/Kelley/Lauren vs. Victoria/Eric/Julie. They go to Rocks or something and Aurora is blindsided. Would explain her purple edit.
5th: Kelley/Lauren find idol. Other one wins immunity. They blindside Victoria.
4th: I think Eric wins final immunity....saves Julie...and then Lauren/Kelley are forced to make fire against each other. I think Lauren loses given Kelley supposedly making F3
F3: Kelley/Eric/Julie: I think many Manu will vote for Kelley whereas the #kamabitter sentiment that is rumored will cause Julie to get the majority of the votes. Plus her really good edit this episode supports this...
3rd: Eric
2nd: Kelley
1st: Julie
#survivor
HERE IS THE CONTESTANTS STILL IN THE GAME AND HOW I RANKED THEM BASED OFF THEIR CHANCES OF WINNING:
1st: Lauren (+0) I still think Lauren is going to take the w. Did Lauren have a particularly good episode???? HELL NO. BUT it could have been a lot worse. Whenever Wentworth and Lauren were painted as villains......it was Wentworth that took the heat. Also Lauren was shown as the one who threw out the name of Rick to the other ladies. So she did have decent visibility despite not having a confessional. I totally think this episode shielded her from seeming too far out of the loop. That added to her positive content pre merge...I still see her winning. HOWEVER...if she gets the same kind of edit next episode...I might have to re-evaluate that.
2nd: Julie (+2) Julie finally got DECENT strategic content. We literally saw the episode from her perspective (and the thoughts of the Kama 6). FIRST she successfully got the target off of Rick, and was shown as an empathetic person. She also backed up her "I don't wanna go to Extinction island" comment by winning immunity, showing that she is strong-willed. Some people didn't like how she wanted Wentworth out while Ron wanted Joe out given that ultimately Joe was the one voted out. HOWEVER.I think her wanting Wentworth out was the correct intuition to have. Wentworth WOULD HAVE been voted out with her idol. And that would have been key. But now Manu has three idols in their possession. Additionally, she wasn't seen as being top dog/controlling or anything like that. Her edit could have gone the Sierra/Debbie route during Game Changers...but they kept her humble and open to any idea. Thus I think she is in a good position and could overtake Lauren as my top winner pick.
3rd: Victoria (-1) Victoria didn't have a huge episode, but she got just enough content so we knew she was there and still playing the game. I bumped her down a little, just due to the fact that she still has received no personal content. Also, she seemed a little submissive to Julie. (The way she followed Julie around). I wouldn't read too much into that...but next week hopefully we see her separate her strategy talk from what the kama 6 wants...to what I want.
4th: Eric (+0) I get golden boy vibes from Eric. I truly think a woman wins this season. HOWEVER...if a man wins I think it is him. THis wasn't a good episode for him. No confessional or tribal council comments from him. I am going to keep him where he is now...but just like Lauren he really needs good content next week to establish himself as a force in this game.
5th: Rick: Very good episode for Rick. Legit it WAS about him. HOWEVER...his edit is way too down our throats for a winners edit. Survivor has really tried to throw us off over the last seasons. So I think he has a shot to win...HOWEVER...he seems more of a Christian/Davie type player that receives a lot of content...but doesn't reach the end. He probably falls short in the F7-F5 range.
6th: David (+0) Bad episode for David tbh. Why didn't he recieve any content during his conversation with Rick? I honestly don't know. I am also SUPER confused about why David and Kelley like all of a sudden are not working together. So David is honestly such a question mark for me right now. HOWEVER....mixed with newbies who have been ghosted...and people who have super negative edits...he is able to be as high as he is on my list.
7th: Wardog (+0) Honestly a REALLY strange episode for Wardog. He was no where to be found until his one tribal council comment about all the idols coming out at once. I truly have no idea what is going on with Wardogs edit. HOWEVER...he did vote with Kelley/Lolly so I would assume he is still playing with them. Due to other players having a negative edit...I am puting him where he is.
8th: Kelley (-3) Yikes not a good episode for Kelley. Despite recieving ALOT of content. Most of it was BAD content. She was seen as evil to Julie, and unfortunately that kinda panned out to be true. For some reason she wrote down Davids name? I really don't know what to think. HOWEVER....her comment about tribal about playing from the bottom DID seem promising. I wouldn't count her out...but her edit next week NEEEEDS a change in tone. If she has ANOTHER negative episode...I would say its time to count her out.
9th: Gavin (+3) Not a terrible episode for Gavin. He recieved 2 confessionals which is good...HOWEVER neither confessional really offered a whole lot. Basically strictly narrational. So unfortunately for Gavin I really think his edit paints him as being one of the first Kama 6 casuaties. WHY....because he got 2 confessionals last episode. Maybe he will get kinda a Julia/Will/Ciera type edit where they go 2-3 episodes of content before being voted out.
10th: Ron (-2) BAD episode for Ron. Legit went out of the way to paint him as a villian. YES he got his way with the vote..HOWEVER he was really arrogant and douchey for no reason at tribal. I got Debbie level overconfident vibes. While Julie was shown as being open to meeting new people and expanding her game...Ron was not. I expect him to be blindsided next week.
11th: Julia (-1) Not a bad episode for her. HOWEVER...not a good one either. We did get a decent confessional...but her edit is too far gone
12th: Aurora (-1) Legit WORST edit in Survivor history. At least with Chelsea in GI we knew what her game was (playing with Naviti)....with Aurora we know NOTHINNNG about her. I would expect her to be an idol victim or maybe even a rock draw victim.
IOE CHANCE OF RETURNING EDGICALLY
1st: Aubry: Come on...her confessional was awesome. Legit made me shake. When she said that when everyone else is crumbling around her...she knows how to thrive. That IS her survivor story. That girl has unfinished business.
2nd: Chris: I think Chris is getting little content here and there so that we are reminded of him. I think he is physically the biggest threat to return
3rd: Joe: I truly don't think his edit points to him returning
4th: Reem: I see Reem as the face of Extinction Island. Nothing more..nothing less.
MY SURVIVOR TIER SYSTEM.
TIER 1: Lauren and Julie
TIER 2: Eric and Victoria
TIER 3: Rick and David
TIER 4: Wardog and Kelley
TIER 5: Gavin, Ron, Aurora, and Julia
